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CBSE Class 12 Maths 2010 Solved Paper

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Question : 13 of 29
Marks: +1, -0
On a multiple choice examination with three possible answers (out of which only one is correct) for each of the five questions, what is the probability that a candidate would get four or more correct answers just by guessing?
Solution:  
Let X denote the number of questions answered correctly by guessing in multiple choice examinations.
Probability of getting a correct answer by guessing, p = 13\frac{1}{3}
Therefore, q, the probability of an incorrect answer by guessing is = 1 - 13\frac{1}{3} = 23\frac{2}{3}
P (X = x) = Cnx⋅qn−x⋅px\overset{n}{C}_x \cdot q^{n-x} \cdot p^{x} = C5x⋅(23)5−x⋅(13)x\overset{5}{C}_x \cdot \left(\frac{2}{3}\right)^{5-x} \cdot \left(\frac{1}{3}\right)^{x}
P (guessing more than 4 correct answers) = P (X ≥ 4)
= P (X = 4) + P (X = 5)
= C54⋅(23)5−4⋅(13)4\overset{5}{C}_4 \cdot \left(\frac{2}{3}\right)^{5-4} \cdot \left(\frac{1}{3}\right)^{4} + C55⋅(23)5−5⋅(13)5\overset{5}{C}_5 \cdot \left(\frac{2}{3}\right)^{5-5} \cdot \left(\frac{1}{3}\right)^{5}
= 5 × (23)⋅(181)\left(\frac{2}{3}\right) \cdot \left(\frac{1}{81}\right) + 1 × 1 × (1243)\left(\frac{1}{243}\right) [Using Cnr\overset{n}{C}_r = n!(n−r)!r!\frac{n!}{(n-r)! r!}]
= 11243\frac{11}{243}
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