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Manipal Entrance Test 2015 Math Paper
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© examsnet.com
Question : 58
Total: 70
Let
u
1
and
u
2
be two urns such that
u
1
contains 3 white, 2 red balls and
u
2
contains only 1 white ball. A fair coin is tossed. If head appears, then 1 ball is drawn at random from urn
u
1
and put into
u
2
. However, if tail appears, then 2 balls are drawn at random from
u
1
and put into
u
2
. Now, 1 ball is drawn at random from
u
2
. Then, probability of the drawn ball from
u
2
being white is
13
30
23
30
19
30
11
30
Validate
Solution:
By total probability theorem,
Required probability =
1
2
×
(
3
5
×
1
+
2
5
×
1
2
)
+
1
2
(
3
C
2
5
C
2
×
1
+
2
C
2
5
C
2
×
1
3
+
3
C
1
×
2
C
1
5
C
2
×
2
3
)
=
1
2
(
3
5
+
1
5
)
+
1
2
(
3
10
+
1
30
+
2
5
)
=
2
5
+
1
2
(
9
+
1
+
12
30
)
=
2
3
+
22
60
=
24
+
22
60
=
46
60
=
23
30
© examsnet.com
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